KXAAAGASM-25SEP30-3.20
Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?
$0.09

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.08 $0.09 $0.09 1.0¢ 8.5%
NO $0.91 $0.92 $0.92 1.0¢ 91.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.08 16 $0.09 11248
NO $0.91 11248 $0.92 16
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.08 -0.9972 4523
$0.92 0.9972 13835

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.080 – 0.090
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) -3.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.02
Micro Pull ($) -0.01
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-31 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-09-29 11:59 PM ET (8d 9h 7m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-30 10:00 AM ET (8d 19h 8m)
Early Close: nan

Book & Activity

Liquidity1952024
24h Volume4885
Open Interest75695
OI Turnover (24h)0.06
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05200.17892.45
0.252375.865614.24
0.503380.014610.09
0.755045.063695.04
0.957891.199.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.20 on Sep 30, 2025 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T18:51:24.212617

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