KXATTENDMAFIATHON-25OCT01-MRB
Will MrBeast attend Kai Cenat’s ‘Mafiathon 3’ Stream?
$0.23
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.11 | $0.17 | $0.23 | 12.0¢ | 17.0% |
| NO | $0.77 | $0.83 | $0.89 | 12.0¢ | 83.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.11 | 10 | $0.23 | 33 |
| NO | $0.77 | 33 | $0.89 | 10 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.1379 | -0.5349 | 0 |
| $0.8621 | 0.5349 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.110 – 0.230 |
| Band Width | 0.120 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -6.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -6.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 6 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | -0.0321 |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-09-04 06:30 PM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-10-01 10:00 AM ET (7d 9h 10m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-10-01 10:00 AM ET (7d 9h 10m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 65579 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 128 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 4.03 | 236.62 |
| 0.25 | 56.92 | 208.73 |
| 0.50 | 83.92 | 156.73 |
| 0.75 | 240.65 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 240.65 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If MrBeast attends Kai Cenat’s ‘Mafiathon 3’ Stream, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
For the purposes of this market, the individual must be physically present with Kai Cenat during the Mafiathon 3 live stream and appear on camera in real time. Remote appearances, including FaceTime, Zoom, phone calls, or any other form of video or audio communication, will not count. Similarly, pre-recorded videos, shout-outs, or clips will not satisfy the requirement for an appearance.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:49:57.082679
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