KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-INEP
Will the Ian Nepomniachtchi win the World Chess Championship?
$0.11

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.02 $0.07 $0.11 9.0¢ 6.5%
NO $0.89 $0.94 $0.98 9.0¢ 93.5%
Overround (asks): 9.0% Underround (bids): 9.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.02 200 $0.11 200
NO $0.89 200 $0.98 200
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.065 0.0 0
$0.935 0.0 200

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.020 – 0.110
Band Width0.090

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-4.5
NO Edge (ticks)-4.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) -0.005
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-07-19 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2028-12-30 10:00 AM ET (1194d 20h 20m)
Expected Expiration2026-12-31 10:00 AM ET (464d 20h 20m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity1387852
24h Volume0
Open Interest1901
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.054.014297.07
0.25302.5914037.48
0.50566.9113734.16
0.75817.1713483.9
0.95983.1713317.9
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Ian Nepomniachtchi wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T18:39:53.922009

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