KXFEDDCEXT-25OCT
Will becomes law before Oct 1, 2025?
$0.01

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.01 $0.01 1.0¢ 1.0%
NO $0.99 $0.99 $1.0 1.0¢ 99.01%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.01 23316
NO $0.99 23316 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.01 0.0 0
$0.99 0.0 42893

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.000 – 0.010
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-14 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-01 10:00 AM ET (7d 23h 1m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-01 10:00 AM ET (7d 23h 1m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity15885435
24h Volume15
Open Interest85917
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05505.97158541.49
0.2511700.06147347.4
0.5014136.06144920.4
0.7517208.06141839.4
0.9530666.06128381.4
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If legislation that extends federal takeover of D.C. police beyond 30-day limit becomes law before Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T14:58:37.154132

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