KXFLIGHTJFK-25NOV12-T800
Will there be more than 800 delays and cancellations at JFK on November 12, 2025?
800
$0.08
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.03 | $0.06 | $0.08 | 5.0¢ | 5.5% |
| NO | $0.92 | $0.94 | $0.97 | 5.0¢ | 94.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.03 | 0 | $0.08 | 0 |
| NO | $0.92 | 0 | $0.97 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.06 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.94 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.030 – 0.080 |
| Band Width | 0.050 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -2.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -2.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 500 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | -0.93 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -94.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | 0.04 |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 542960 |
| 24h Volume | 1396 |
| Open Interest | 881 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 1.58 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If FlightAware records that the total number of delays and cancellations at JFK International Airport is above 800 on November 12, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Please note that at the Source Agency link, the Underlying is the sum at the top, and not the values embedded in the table below.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-12T22:00:22.582046
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