KXFYREFESTPRICE-30-500
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?
$0.7
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.6 | $0.65 | $0.7 | 10.0¢ | 65.0% |
| NO | $0.3 | $0.35 | $0.4 | 10.0¢ | 35.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.6 | 46 | $0.7 | 3 |
| NO | $0.3 | 3 | $0.4 | 46 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.6939 | 0.8776 | 46 |
| $0.3061 | -0.8776 | 3 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.600 – 0.700 |
| Band Width | 0.100 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -5.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -5.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | 0.0439 |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-07-25 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2029-12-31 11:59 PM ET (1560d 3h 35m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2030-01-01 10:00 AM ET (1560d 13h 36m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 199750 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 0 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 6.0 | 1685.7 |
| 0.25 | 46.0 | 1665.7 |
| 0.50 | 126.0 | 1560.7 |
| 0.75 | 415.7 | 1271.0 |
| 0.95 | 501.7 | 1185.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If the first price announced for a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket by FF2 Operations LLC is at least $500, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If no official announcement regarding ticket prices is made after issuance and before the market’s close, the market will resolve to NO.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data
Last updated: 2025-09-24T01:23:50.948838
Technical Indicators
No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →
Let us know what you’d like to see →