KXGRAMBTPVA-68-BEL

Will Who Believes In Angels? win Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album at the Grammys?

Who Believes In Angels?:: Elton John & Brandi Carlile

$0.46

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.38	$0.42	$0.46	8.0¢	42.0%
NO	$0.54	$0.58	$0.62	8.0¢	58.0%

Overround (asks): 8.0% Underround (bids): 8.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.38	0	$0.46	0
NO	$0.54	0	$0.62	0

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.42	0.0	0
$0.58	0.0	0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.380 – 0.460
Band Width	0.080

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-4.0
NO Edge (ticks)	-4.0
Vig (bps/h)	800

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	0.02
ΔSpread (¢)	-1.0
ΔLast Trade ($)	0.01
Micro Pull ($)	—

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	—
Last Trade (Close)	— (—)
Expected Expiration	— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	720135
24h Volume	300
Open Interest	300
OI Turnover (24h)	1.0
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	0.0	0.0
0.25	0.0	0.0
0.50	0.0	0.0
0.75	0.0	0.0
0.95	0.0	0.0

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If Who Believes In Angels? has won Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-11-12T20:39:56.198722

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →