KXMAYORJERSEY-25-BODE
Will Bill O’Dea win the election for the Mayor of Jersey City in 2025?
$0.2

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.13 $0.17 $0.2 7.0¢ 16.5%
NO $0.8 $0.83 $0.87 7.0¢ 83.5%
Overround (asks): 7.0% Underround (bids): 7.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.13 2 $0.2 2
NO $0.8 2 $0.87 2
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.165 0.0 2
$0.835 0.0 120

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.130 – 0.200
Band Width0.070

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-3.5
NO Edge (ticks)-3.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) -0.005
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-03-27 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-05-10 11:00 AM ET (229d 19h 4m)
Expected Expiration2025-11-04 10:00 AM ET (42d 19h 4m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity1174921
24h Volume0
Open Interest3419
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0520.082677.9
0.25324.552473.43
0.50636.552061.43
0.751563.941134.04
0.952301.98396.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Bill O’Dea wins the election for Mayor in Jersey City in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T19:55:58.080502

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