KXMAYORNYCPARTY-25-R
Will a representative of the Republican party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025?
:: Republican Nominee
$0.01
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
| NO | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.01% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 14274 |
| NO | $0.99 | 14274 | $1.0 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 307608 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.000 – 0.010 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | -0.01 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2024-11-09 02:00 PM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2026-11-04 10:00 AM ET (408d 15h 2m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (101d 15h 2m) |
Early Close: This market will close following in the swearing in of the Mayor pursuant to the election.
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 118750780 |
| 24h Volume | 2829 |
| Open Interest | 2161223 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 7480.39 | 1187546.0 |
| 0.25 | 18515.16 | 1178261.73 |
| 0.50 | 41752.41 | 1153273.98 |
| 0.75 | 66209.81 | 1128816.58 |
| 0.95 | 153418.19 | 1079608.2 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If a representative of the Republican Party wins the NYC Mayoral election on Nov 4, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-21T23:57:17.677145
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