KXMENWORLDCUP-26-DE

Will the Germany win the 2026 Men's World Cup?

$0.08

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.07	$0.07	$0.08	1.0¢	7.5%
NO	$0.92	$0.93	$0.93	1.0¢	92.5%

Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.07	50	$0.08	15563
NO	$0.92	15563	$0.93	50

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.07	-0.9936	10960
$0.93	0.9936	57611

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.070 – 0.080
Band Width	0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)	-0.5
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	—

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-05-15 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-07-18 10:00 AM ET (1029d 3h 53m)
Expected Expiration	2026-07-19 10:00 AM ET (299d 3h 53m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	96174327
24h Volume	5
Open Interest	9166
OI Turnover (24h)	0.0
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	848.05	914697.48
0.25	8849.53	906718.55
0.50	9453.56	905767.02
0.75	17542.63	897677.95
0.95	277417.58	750777.0

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If Germany wins the 2026 Men's World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T10:06:11.432379

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