KXMLBALCY-25-GCRO
Who will win AL Cy Young?
$0.1

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.01 $0.06 $0.1 9.0¢ 5.5%
NO $0.9 $0.94 $0.99 9.0¢ 94.5%
Overround (asks): 9.0% Underround (bids): 9.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.01 66 $0.1 1111
NO $0.9 1111 $0.99 66
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.015 -0.8879 66
$0.985 0.8879 1135

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.010 – 0.100
Band Width0.090

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-4.5
NO Edge (ticks)-4.5
Vig (bps/h)1

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.07
ΔSpread (¢) -4.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.06
Micro Pull ($) -0.045
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-06-13 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-29 10:00 AM ET (371d 15h 4m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-29 10:00 AM ET (36d 15h 4m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity10288548
24h Volume9
Open Interest24122
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.66102050.45
0.25763.85101287.26
0.501044.67101006.44
0.752549.24100167.87
0.9515795.7786255.34
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Garrett Crochet wins the Pro baseball American League Cy Young in the 2025 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T22:55:27.644334

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