KXMLBALMVP-25-TIE
Who will win AL MVP?
$0.04

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.02 $0.03 $0.04 2.0¢ 3.0%
NO $0.96 $0.97 $0.98 2.0¢ 97.0%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.02 183 $0.04 100
NO $0.96 100 $0.98 183
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.0329 0.2933 4211
$0.9671 -0.2933 5334

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.020 – 0.040
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.01
ΔSpread (¢) -2.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) 0.0029
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-07-21 09:45 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-29 10:00 AM ET (371d 12h 6m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-29 10:00 AM ET (36d 12h 6m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity1805481
24h Volume665
Open Interest9231
OI Turnover (24h)0.07
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0547.9415505.17
0.251324.3214228.79
0.501324.3214228.79
0.751324.3214228.79
0.953024.1112529.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Tie/Co-Winners wins the Pro baseball American League MVP in the 2025 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T01:53:25.210701

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