KXMLBGAME-25SEP23STLSF-SF
St. Louis at San Francisco Winner?
$0.65
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.64 | $0.65 | $0.65 | 1.0¢ | 64.5% |
| NO | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0.36 | 1.0¢ | 35.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.64 | 38915 | $0.65 | 1319 |
| NO | $0.35 | 1319 | $0.36 | 38915 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.6497 | 0.9344 | 80817 |
| $0.3503 | -0.9344 | 213439 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.640 – 0.650 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 29 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | 0.65 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | 1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | 0.65 |
| Micro Pull ($) | -0.0003 |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-09-23 08:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-10-07 09:45 PM ET (14d 0h 21m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-09-24 12:45 AM ET (0d 3h 21m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 68639473 |
| 24h Volume | 28161 |
| Open Interest | 26281 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 1.07 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 2966.09 | 507902.48 |
| 0.25 | 7835.35 | 502551.52 |
| 0.50 | 27323.48 | 483014.89 |
| 0.75 | 242731.96 | 267681.41 |
| 0.95 | 282210.32 | 239910.9 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If San Francisco wins the St. Louis at San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The following market refers to the St. Louis at San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-24T01:23:59.918830
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