KXMLBWINS-MIA-25-T40
Will the Miami pro baseball team win more than 40 times this season?
$1.0
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.0% |
| NO | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | 70068 | $1.0 | 0 |
| NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 70068 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 70068 |
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.990 – 1.000 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-05-21 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (13d 17h 57m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (13d 17h 57m) |
Early Close: nan
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 61322207 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 0 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 8384.0 | 76421.37 |
| 0.25 | 14029.19 | 70776.18 |
| 0.50 | 14495.89 | 70309.48 |
| 0.75 | 14964.84 | 69840.53 |
| 0.95 | 15438.05 | 69367.32 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If the Miami pro baseball team has more than 40 wins in the 2025 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Ties do not count as wins.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-21T20:02:54.920370
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