KXMLBWINS-PIT-25-T70
Will the Pittsburgh pro baseball team win more than 70 times this season?
$0.5

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.02 $0.26 $0.5 48.0¢ 26.0%
NO $0.5 $0.74 $0.98 48.0¢ 74.0%
Overround (asks): 48.0% Underround (bids): 48.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.02 555 $0.5 30
NO $0.5 30 $0.98 555
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.4754 0.8974 0
$0.5246 -0.8974 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.020 – 0.500
Band Width0.480

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-24.0
NO Edge (ticks)-24.0
Vig (bps/h)14

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.08
ΔSpread (¢) -15.0
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.2154
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-05-21 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (13d 20h 44m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (13d 20h 44m)
Early Close: nan

Book & Activity

Liquidity21713926
24h Volume0
Open Interest519
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0511.1216979.16
0.2511.1216979.16
0.5026.1216979.16
0.75182.68216958.33
0.959262.26211511.85
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the Pittsburgh pro baseball team has more than 70 wins in the 2025 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Ties do not count as wins.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T17:15:02.397941

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