KXMLBWINS-SF-25-T80
Will the San Francisco pro baseball team win more than 80 times this season?
$0.5

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.17 $0.34 $0.5 33.0¢ 33.5%
NO $0.5 $0.67 $0.83 33.0¢ 66.5%
Overround (asks): 33.0% Underround (bids): 33.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.17 11 $0.5 50
NO $0.5 50 $0.83 11
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.2295 -0.6393 0
$0.7705 0.6393 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.170 – 0.500
Band Width0.330

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-16.5
NO Edge (ticks)-16.5
Vig (bps/h)9

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.03
ΔSpread (¢) 5.0
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) -0.1105
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-05-21 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (13d 20h 45m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-05 10:00 AM ET (13d 20h 45m)
Early Close: nan

Book & Activity

Liquidity6272780
24h Volume0
Open Interest524
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05413.1631468.97
0.25437.3131444.82
0.50462.3131444.82
0.75653.0131229.12
0.951420.3330461.8
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the San Francisco pro baseball team has more than 80 wins in the 2025 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Ties do not count as wins.

Related Markets

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T17:14:08.641492

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