KXNCAAFGAME-25SEP25ARMYECU-ECU
Army at East Carolina Winner?
$0.66
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.65 | $0.66 | $0.66 | 1.0¢ | 65.5% |
| NO | $0.34 | $0.34 | $0.35 | 1.0¢ | 34.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.65 | 1763 | $0.66 | 35317 |
| NO | $0.34 | 35317 | $0.35 | 1763 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.6505 | -0.9049 | 63322 |
| $0.3495 | 0.9049 | 115581 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.650 – 0.660 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 2 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | -0.02 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | -0.01 |
| Micro Pull ($) | -0.0095 |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-09-11 06:44 PM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-10-09 07:30 PM ET (15d 20h 36m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-09-25 10:30 PM ET (1d 23h 36m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 95437587 |
| 24h Volume | 1456 |
| Open Interest | 9759 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.15 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 3031.0 | 692338.41 |
| 0.25 | 4385.13 | 690970.28 |
| 0.50 | 7547.13 | 688727.78 |
| 0.75 | 134795.22 | 560710.19 |
| 0.95 | 208664.37 | 486691.04 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If East Carolina wins the Army at East Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The following market refers to the team who is the winner (or participant awarded a tie) in the Army at East Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2025. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. If the game is declared a tie, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both teams.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:53:50.097947
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