KXNFLSPREAD-25SEP28CLEDET-DET8
Detroit wins by over 8.5 points?
$0.53

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.51 $0.52 $0.53 2.0¢ 52.0%
NO $0.47 $0.48 $0.49 2.0¢ 48.0%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.51 10000 $0.53 60015
NO $0.47 60015 $0.49 10000
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.5129 -0.7143 60002
$0.4871 0.7143 60017

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.510 – 0.530
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)1

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.02
ΔSpread (¢) -6.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.38
Micro Pull ($) -0.0071
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-09-17 09:13 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-12 01:00 PM ET (18d 12h 15m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-28 04:00 PM ET (4d 15h 15m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity40204389
24h Volume3122
Open Interest3382
OI Turnover (24h)0.92
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.051933.49226313.44
0.252941.98225304.95
0.5030473.02197774.91
0.7567382.05160864.88
0.9577475.92150771.01
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Detroit wins the Detroit at Cleveland professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2025 by more than 8.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Detroit wins by over 9.5 points?
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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:44:59.404053

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