KXNFLSPREAD-25SEP28NOBUF-BUF16
Buffalo wins by over 16.5 points?
$0.5

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.49 $0.49 $0.5 1.0¢ 49.5%
NO $0.5 $0.51 $0.51 1.0¢ 50.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.49 10000 $0.5 1304
NO $0.5 1304 $0.51 10000
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.4988 0.7693 60002
$0.5012 -0.7693 61306

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.490 – 0.500
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.16
ΔSpread (¢) -34.0
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0088
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-09-17 09:12 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-12 01:00 PM ET (18d 14h 4m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-28 04:00 PM ET (4d 17h 4m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity41185958
24h Volume3089
Open Interest3221
OI Turnover (24h)0.96
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.051875.01238711.93
0.252880.35237706.59
0.5034824.68206414.26
0.7565425.72175161.22
0.9576205.94164381.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Buffalo wins the Buffalo at New Orleans professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2025 by more than 16.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:55:29.354628

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