KXNFLSPREAD-25SEP29CINDEN-DEN6
Denver wins by over 6.5 points?
$0.55

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.53 $0.54 $0.55 2.0¢ 54.0%
NO $0.45 $0.46 $0.47 2.0¢ 46.0%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.53 61858 $0.55 10000
NO $0.45 10000 $0.47 61858
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.5472 0.7217 61866
$0.4528 -0.7217 60010

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.530 – 0.550
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)1

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.15
ΔSpread (¢) -30.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.07
Micro Pull ($) 0.0072
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-09-17 09:13 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-13 08:15 PM ET (19d 21h 22m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-29 11:15 PM ET (6d 0h 22m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity42094983
24h Volume426
Open Interest523
OI Turnover (24h)0.81
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.051932.46250172.37
0.252945.36249159.47
0.506141.68245963.15
0.7578763.28173341.55
0.9588805.82163299.01
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Denver wins the Denver at Cincinnati professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2025 by more than 6.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

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Denver wins by over 8.5 points?
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Denver wins by over 7.5 points?
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Denver wins by over 5.5 points?
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Denver wins by over 4.5 points?
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Denver wins by over 3.5 points?
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Denver wins by over 2.5 points?
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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:52:54.247659

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