KXNFLWINS-NE-25B-T11
Will the New England pro football team win more than 11 times this season?
$0.15

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.11 $0.13 $0.15 4.0¢ 13.0%
NO $0.85 $0.87 $0.89 4.0¢ 87.0%
Overround (asks): 4.0% Underround (bids): 4.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.11 10000 $0.15 965
NO $0.85 965 $0.89 10000
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.1465 0.824 10000
$0.8535 -0.824 10965

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.110 – 0.150
Band Width0.040

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.0
NO Edge (ticks)-2.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.04
Micro Pull ($) 0.0165
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-28 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-01-14 10:00 AM ET (114d 21h 38m)
Expected Expiration2026-01-14 10:00 AM ET (114d 21h 38m)
Early Close: nan

Book & Activity

Liquidity85644934
24h Volume25
Open Interest308
OI Turnover (24h)0.08
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.054.05850632.31
0.252948.8847687.56
0.503122.75847513.61
0.7513062.98837573.38
0.95267526.36762553.6
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the New England pro football team has more than 11 wins in the 2025-26 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Ties do not count as wins.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T17:21:12.859073

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