KXNFLWINS-SEA-25B-T7
Will the Seattle pro football team win more than 7 times this season?
$0.66

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.61 $0.64 $0.66 5.0¢ 63.5%
NO $0.34 $0.36 $0.39 5.0¢ 36.5%
Overround (asks): 5.0% Underround (bids): 5.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.61 118 $0.66 3333
NO $0.34 3333 $0.39 118
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.6117 -0.9316 3453
$0.3883 0.9316 3637

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.610 – 0.660
Band Width0.050

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.5
NO Edge (ticks)-2.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.03
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.01
Micro Pull ($) -0.0283
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-28 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-01-14 10:00 AM ET (112d 10h 14m)
Expected Expiration2026-01-14 10:00 AM ET (112d 10h 14m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity22501043
24h Volume1078
Open Interest13603
OI Turnover (24h)0.08
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.052575.5215074.43
0.253102.714547.25
0.503216.6214433.33
0.757918.589731.37
0.957918.589731.37
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the Seattle pro football team has more than 7 wins in the 2025-26 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Ties do not count as wins.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:45:01.872932

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