KXNORWAYSECOND-25SEP08-2-FRP
Will FrP finish 2nd in Norway?
:: Progress Party
$1.0
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.0% |
| NO | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | 5000 | $1.0 | 0 |
| NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 5000 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 7420 |
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.990 – 1.000 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-09-05 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2026-09-08 10:00 AM ET (351d 17h 53m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2026-09-08 10:00 AM ET (351d 17h 53m) |
Early Close: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 211040 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 175 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 20.0 | 7489.6 |
| 0.25 | 20.0 | 7489.6 |
| 0.50 | 20.0 | 7489.6 |
| 0.75 | 20.0 | 7489.6 |
| 0.95 | 388.0 | 7121.6 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If FrP finishes in 2nd place in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election in Norway according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data
Last updated: 2025-09-21T20:06:54.341518
Technical Indicators
No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →
Let us know what you’d like to see →