KXNYCMAYOR2ND-25-CSLI
Who will get second place in the Mayor?
$0.12

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.1 $0.11 $0.12 2.0¢ 11.0%
NO $0.88 $0.89 $0.9 2.0¢ 89.0%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.1 591 $0.12 5920
NO $0.88 5920 $0.9 591
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.1018 -0.8185 24641
$0.8982 0.8185 19303

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.100 – 0.120
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.02
Micro Pull ($) -0.0082
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-06-12 02:45 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-12-04 10:00 AM ET (437d 13h 5m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-04 10:00 AM ET (72d 13h 5m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity6428511
24h Volume786
Open Interest136751
OI Turnover (24h)0.01
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05860.2631157.98
0.256322.1125732.58
0.509585.8522414.09
0.7512139.719860.24
0.9515379.716620.24
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Curtis Sliwa is second place in the NYC Mayor in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T01:54:15.576955

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