KXNYCRENTSY-25-T1

Will New York City rent grow above 1% in December 2025?

$1.0

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.94	$0.97	$1.0	6.0¢	94.17%
NO	$0.0	$0.06	$0.06	6.0¢	5.99%

Overround (asks): 6.0% Underround (bids): 6.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.94	200	$1.0	0
NO	$0.0	0	$0.06	200

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.97	0.0	200
$0.06	0.0	0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.940 – 1.000
Band Width	0.060

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-5.83
NO Edge (ticks)	-0.17
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	—

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-07-18 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2026-01-21 11:59 PM ET (122d 7h 23m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-21 10:00 AM ET (121d 17h 24m)

Early Close: nan

Book & Activity

Liquidity	-238554
24h Volume	0
Open Interest	0
OI Turnover (24h)	0.0
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	2.0	614.54
0.25	48.0	568.54
0.50	48.0	568.54
0.75	262.54	354.0
0.95	616.54	0.0

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If the NYC StreetEasy rental index grows by more than 1 in December 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T21:35:02.607591

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