KXPGARYDERTOP-25-JTHO
Will Justin Thomas win the Ryder Cup Top Points Scorer?
$0.04

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.03 $0.04 $0.04 1.0¢ 3.5%
NO $0.96 $0.96 $0.97 1.0¢ 96.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.03 10000 $0.04 50168
NO $0.96 50168 $0.97 10000
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.0317 -0.6676 120000
$0.9683 0.6676 635940

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.030 – 0.040
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)100

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) -1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) -0.01
Micro Pull ($) -0.0083
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-09-19 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-03 10:00 AM ET (9d 17h 37m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-19 10:00 AM ET (-4d 6h 22m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity83509006
24h Volume1104
Open Interest1231
OI Turnover (24h)0.9
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.054506.72715583.34
0.2536353.46683736.6
0.5036442.26683647.8
0.7538611.82681478.24
0.95194980.29595409.77
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Justin Thomas be the Ryder Cup Top Points Scorer, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T20:22:09.221089

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