KXRAINNYC-25NOV12-T0
Will it **rain** in New York City on Wednesday?
$0.87
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.08 | $0.47 | $0.87 | 79.0¢ | 47.5% |
| NO | $0.13 | $0.53 | $0.92 | 79.0¢ | 52.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.08 | 0 | $0.87 | 0 |
| NO | $0.13 | 0 | $0.92 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.47 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.53 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.080 – 0.870 |
| Band Width | 0.790 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -39.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -39.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 7900 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | 0.47 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | 79.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | 0.07 |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 409252 |
| 24h Volume | 31 |
| Open Interest | 31 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 1.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on November 12, 2025 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The Payout Criterion only encompasses Expiration Values that are strictly greater than inches. If the Expiration Value is T (when the target is 0) for Trace or R for Record (where the record set is strictly greater than ), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will close and expire the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of data for November 12, 2025 or November 19, 2025.
If the Climatological Report is still inconclusive on November 19, 2025, Kalshi will reference the columns titled "Weather" and "1 Hour Precip (in)" in the NWS time series (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc) for determination via rule 7.2 of the rulebook.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-12T12:40:31.189272
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