KXSIZE3IATLAS-25-1.5
How big is 3I/ATLAS?
$0.79

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.68 $0.73 $0.79 11.0¢ 73.5%
NO $0.21 $0.27 $0.32 11.0¢ 26.5%
Overround (asks): 11.0% Underround (bids): 11.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.68 29 $0.79 33
NO $0.21 33 $0.32 29
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.7315 -0.0645 29
$0.2685 0.0645 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.680 – 0.790
Band Width0.110

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-5.5
NO Edge (ticks)-5.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0015
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-07-24 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-12-30 11:59 PM ET (98d 0h 14m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (98d 10h 15m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity332789
24h Volume0
Open Interest845
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0566.661057.07
0.2566.661057.07
0.5066.661057.07
0.75237.82885.91
0.95427.89695.84
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If 3I/ATLAS is 1.5 kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:44:49.368943

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