KXSOLNASDAQ-26JAN01
Will Solana have more trades than the NASDAQ on any day before Jan 1, 2026?
$0.74
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.6 | $0.67 | $0.74 | 14.0¢ | 67.0% |
| NO | $0.26 | $0.33 | $0.4 | 14.0¢ | 33.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.6 | 2 | $0.74 | 2 |
| NO | $0.26 | 2 | $0.4 | 2 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.67 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.33 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.600 – 0.740 |
| Band Width | 0.140 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -7.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -7.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-08-28 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-12-31 11:59 PM ET (99d 0h 6m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (99d 10h 7m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1211870 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 1960 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 84.65 | 6781.93 |
| 0.25 | 84.65 | 6781.93 |
| 0.50 | 170.68 | 6695.9 |
| 0.75 | 943.32 | 6065.76 |
| 0.95 | 1629.58 | 5269.3 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Solana has more trades than the NASDAQ on any day before Jan 1, 2026 according to flipthe.market, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The comparison is based on daily trade counts as displayed on https://www.flipthe.market. Both Solana and NASDAQ must have complete day data for a valid comparison. If flipthe.market retroactively revises data, the revised data will be used only if the revision occurs before the deadline date. Partial day data does not count for resolution. If flipthe.market changes its methodology during the contract period, the new methodology applies going forward. In case flipthe.market is unavailable, fallback sources will be consulted in this order: official flipthe.market social media accounts (X/Twitter @flipthemarkt), the Solana Foundation, NASDAQ official statistics, Solscan.io, and Dune Analytics Solana dashboards. The market resolves to Yes as soon as Solana's daily trade count exceeds NASDAQ's on any single calendar day.
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:52:46.072214
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