KXSPOTIFY2BILLION-25DEC31-CFMF
Will Can't Feel My Face hit 2 Billion Spotify streams in 2025?
:: The Weeknd
$1.0
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.0% |
| NO | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | 16000 | $1.0 | 0 |
| NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 16000 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 26700 |
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.990 – 1.000 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-05-06 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (100d 17h 39m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (100d 17h 39m) |
Early Close: This market will close and expire early if the event occus.
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 278300 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 0 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 30.0 | 28837.0 |
| 0.25 | 174.0 | 28693.0 |
| 0.50 | 438.0 | 28429.0 |
| 0.75 | 822.0 | 28045.0 |
| 0.95 | 2651.0 | 26311.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Can't Feel My Face has above 2 Billion total streams on Spotify by Dec 31, 2025 at 10 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Total stream count will be determined using the Spotify desktop app at 10 AM ET, based on the exact number displayed at that time. Any updates or changes after 10 AM ET will NOT be considered. The song can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/track/22VdIZQfgXJea34mQxlt81?si=13181465fc4e448f
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-21T21:20:47.310712
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