KXSPOTIFYALBUMTSWIFT-25-OCT18
Will Taylor Swift release The Life of a Showgirl before 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z
$1.0

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.99 $0.99 $1.0 1.0¢ 99.0%
NO $0.0 $0.01 $0.01 1.0¢ 1.0%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.99 422 $1.0 0
NO $0.0 0 $0.01 422
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.99 0.0 1450
$0.01 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.990 – 1.000
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)-0.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-13 03:30 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-17 11:59 PM ET (26d 12h 0m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (100d 23h 1m)
Early Close: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Book & Activity

Liquidity152068
24h Volume0
Open Interest190
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0510.381856.94
0.2538.381828.94
0.50155.381711.94
0.75283.381583.94
0.95550.381411.94
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Taylor Swift releases 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Spotify before Oct 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T15:58:52.965975

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