KXTOP10BILLBOARDSPOTSTS-25-8
How many spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top 10 will Taylor Swift hold for the week of Oct 18, 2025?
$0.07
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.04 | $0.06 | $0.07 | 3.0¢ | 5.5% |
| NO | $0.93 | $0.94 | $0.96 | 3.0¢ | 94.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.04 | 445 | $0.07 | 62 |
| NO | $0.93 | 62 | $0.96 | 445 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.0663 | 0.7554 | 1131 |
| $0.9337 | -0.7554 | 967 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.040 – 0.070 |
| Band Width | 0.030 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | -0.04 |
| Micro Pull ($) | 0.0063 |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-08-29 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-10-17 11:59 PM ET (24d 9h 25m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-10-18 10:00 AM ET (24d 19h 26m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 472449 |
| 24h Volume | 85 |
| Open Interest | 759 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.11 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 31.52 | 3927.88 |
| 0.25 | 483.26 | 3676.14 |
| 0.50 | 883.26 | 3076.14 |
| 0.75 | 1989.48 | 2344.92 |
| 0.95 | 2920.5 | 1513.9 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Taylor Swift has exactly 8 spots on the Billboard Hot 100's top ten songs by the Billboard chart for Oct 18, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.**
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:33:16.883104
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