KXTRUMPMEET-NOV25-XJIN
Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet before Dec 1, 2025?
$0.1

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.04 $0.07 $0.1 6.0¢ 7.0%
NO $0.9 $0.93 $0.96 6.0¢ 93.0%
Overround (asks): 6.0% Underround (bids): 6.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.04 0 $0.1 0
NO $0.9 0 $0.96 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.07 0.0 0
$0.93 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.0400.100
Band Width0.060

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-3.0
NO Edge (ticks)-3.0
Vig (bps/h)600

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.03
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity184082
24h Volume40
Open Interest1556
OI Turnover (24h)0.03
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet before Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A meeting is defined as: an in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location, a virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time, a phone call where both parties speak directly to each other, or any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time. <p>The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences, informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies, working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings, pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented, and home visits or meetings at non-official locations.</p> <p>The following do NOT qualify as meetings: being present at the same event without direct interaction, exchanging written correspondence, communication through intermediaries without direct contact, pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication, meetings cancelled after being scheduled, or near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not.</p>

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-12T00:57:02.282545

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