KXTRUMPMEETELON-26-EMUS
Donald Trump and Elon Musk meet before Jan 1, 2026?
$0.89

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.71 $0.8 $0.89 18.0¢ 80.0%
NO $0.11 $0.2 $0.29 18.0¢ 20.0%
Overround (asks): 18.0% Underround (bids): 18.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.71 94 $0.89 17
NO $0.11 17 $0.29 94
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.8624 0.6937 0
$0.1376 -0.6937 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.710 – 0.890
Band Width0.180

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-9.0
NO Edge (ticks)-9.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.8
ΔSpread (¢) 18.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.67
Micro Pull ($) 0.0624
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-09-23 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-12-31 11:59 PM ET (99d 0h 11m)
Expected Expiration2026-01-01 10:00 AM ET (99d 10h 12m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity513463
24h Volume775
Open Interest775
OI Turnover (24h)1.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0520.03425.43
0.2520.03425.43
0.5082.13363.83
0.753232.4213.03
0.953435.639.8
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Donald Trump and Elon Musk meet after September 22 and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:47:01.071520

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →