KXVOTEANTONI-25-JCUR
Will John Curtis vote for E.J. Antoni?
$0.05

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.05 $0.05 5.0¢ 4.88%
NO $0.95 $0.97 $1.0 5.0¢ 95.24%
Overround (asks): 5.0% Underround (bids): 5.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.05 45
NO $0.95 45 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.05 0.0 0
$0.97 0.0 827

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.000 – 0.050
Band Width0.050

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.12
NO Edge (ticks)-4.88
Vig (bps/h)2

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-14 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-10-01 10:00 AM ET (7d 19h 23m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-01 10:00 AM ET (7d 19h 23m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity432960
24h Volume0
Open Interest1826
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.04335.9
0.25191.534144.37
0.50587.93748.0
0.753235.91100.0
0.953939.9396.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If John Curtis votes Yea for E.J. Antoni for BLS Commissioner before Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:36:45.816755

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