KXWTAMATCH-25SEP24SIEMCC-SIE
Will Laura Siegemund win the Siegemund vs McNally match?
$0.41
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.36 | $0.39 | $0.41 | 5.0¢ | 38.5% |
| NO | $0.59 | $0.61 | $0.64 | 5.0¢ | 61.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.36 | 430 | $0.41 | 0 |
| NO | $0.59 | 0 | $0.64 | 430 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.39 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.61 | 0.0 | 4342 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.360 – 0.410 |
| Band Width | 0.050 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -2.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -2.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 206 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | 0.39 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | 5.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | 0.38 |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-09-23 02:15 PM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-10-08 12:10 AM ET (13d 23h 25m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-09-24 03:10 AM ET (0d 2h 25m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1658051 |
| 24h Volume | 6483 |
| Open Interest | 4052 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 1.6 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 2.0 | 6370.7 |
| 0.25 | 145.0 | 6227.7 |
| 0.50 | 2380.43 | 3992.27 |
| 0.75 | 2755.43 | 3992.27 |
| 0.95 | 4344.7 | 2122.05 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Laura Siegemund wins the Siegemund vs McNally professional tennis match in the 2025 WTA Beijing round of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The following market refers to the Siegemund vs McNally professional tennis match in the 2025 WTA Beijing round of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:44:28.029417
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