RTWITCHERS4-75
The Witcher: Season 4 Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 75:: This series is "Certified Fresh!"
$0.4
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.34 | $0.37 | $0.4 | 6.0¢ | 37.0% |
| NO | $0.6 | $0.63 | $0.66 | 6.0¢ | 63.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.34 | 336 | $0.4 | 133 |
| NO | $0.6 | 133 | $0.66 | 336 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.383 | 0.4328 | 1336 |
| $0.617 | -0.4328 | 1133 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.340 – 0.400 |
| Band Width | 0.060 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -3.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | 0.013 |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2024-05-24 02:00 PM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (98d 12h 7m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (98d 12h 7m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 8824023 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 1506 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 108.46 | 48423.86 |
| 0.25 | 528.77 | 48203.55 |
| 0.50 | 2676.21 | 46306.11 |
| 0.75 | 3976.94 | 44505.38 |
| 0.95 | 6910.82 | 41571.5 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If The Witcher: Season 4 has a Tomatometer score of above 75 on Dec 31, 2025 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
This market will resolve the day after the premiere, which will be updated here when that is released.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:52:12.620256
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