GOVPARTYKS-27-D
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Kansas
$0.33

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.2 $0.27 $0.33 13.0¢ 26.5%
NO $0.67 $0.73 $0.8 13.0¢ 73.5%
Overround (asks): 13.0% Underround (bids): 13.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.2 0 $0.33 0
NO $0.67 0 $0.8 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.27 0.0 0
$0.73 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.200 – 0.330
Band Width0.130

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-6.5
NO Edge (ticks)-6.5
Vig (bps/h)1299

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity132840063
24h Volume0
Open Interest24
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Kansas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Kansas
$0.33
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kansas
$0.76

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-11-08T21:06:13.313947

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →