KXAIRDROPMONAD-26FEB01
Will Monad conduct an airdrop before Feb 1, 2026?
$1.0

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.95 $0.97 $1.0 5.0¢ 95.12%
NO $0.0 $0.05 $0.05 5.0¢ 4.99%
Overround (asks): 5.0% Underround (bids): 5.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.95 0 $1.0 0
NO $0.0 0 $0.05 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.97 0.0 0
$0.05 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.9501.000
Band Width0.050

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-4.88
NO Edge (ticks)-0.12
Vig (bps/h)500

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity343480
24h Volume0
Open Interest26
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Monad conducts an airdrop before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
An airdrop is defined as the distribution of fungible tokens to multiple wallet addresses where recipients receive tokens without paying the full market value. This includes free distributions requiring only gas fees, distributions requiring donations less than 10% of market value, retroactive rewards, task-based distributions, and phased distributions where initial tokens are received before the deadline. Token sales where recipients pay 10% or more of market value, ICOs, IDOs, employee compensation, liquidity mining rewards, staking rewards, NFTs, non-transferable tokens, and unconverted points do not constitute airdrops. The airdrop must be conducted (tokens actually distributed) before the deadline, not merely announced.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-08T22:32:41.625450

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