KXANDYBYRONCOLDPLAY-26
Will Andy Byron sue Coldplay before 2026?
$0.06
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.05 | $0.06 | $0.06 | 1.0¢ | 5.5% |
| NO | $0.94 | $0.94 | $0.95 | 1.0¢ | 94.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.05 | 0 | $0.06 | 0 |
| NO | $0.94 | 0 | $0.95 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.06 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.94 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.050 – 0.060 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 100 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 632405 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 3315 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Andy Byron sues Coldplay — including any of the following: individual band members, the band’s management company, or individual members of Coldplay's management company before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-08T22:32:13.403765
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