KXAPRPOTUSEOY-26JAN01-46.45
Will the President's approval rating be between 46.0 and 46.9 according to RealClearPolitics?
46.0 to 46.9
$0.09

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.05 $0.07 $0.09 4.0¢ 7.0%
NO $0.91 $0.93 $0.95 4.0¢ 93.0%
Overround (asks): 4.0% Underround (bids): 4.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.05 0 $0.09 0
NO $0.91 0 $0.95 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.07 0.0 0
$0.93 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.050 – 0.090
Band Width0.040

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-2.0
NO Edge (ticks)-2.0
Vig (bps/h)400

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity1113611
24h Volume45
Open Interest5951
OI Turnover (24h)0.01
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the President's approval rating is between 46.0 and 46.9% at 11:00 AM ET on January 01, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on January 01, 2026.

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44.0 to 44.9
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45.0 to 45.9
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46.0 to 46.9
$0.09
47.0 to 47.9
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50.1 or above
$0.08

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-11T15:34:40.988547

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