KXARODGRETIRE-26
Will Aaron Rodgers announce their retirement in 2026?
$0.77
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.7 | $0.73 | $0.77 | 7.0¢ | 73.5% |
| NO | $0.23 | $0.27 | $0.3 | 7.0¢ | 26.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.7 | 0 | $0.77 | 0 |
| NO | $0.23 | 0 | $0.3 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.73 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.27 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.700 – 0.770 |
| Band Width | 0.070 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -3.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -3.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 700 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 2917584 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 3970 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Aaron Rodgers announces their retirement before the date of the first 2026-27 season regular season game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Note: the retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. This market applies to retiring from the league, not the sport as a whole.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-08T19:30:51.214516
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