KXBERNIEENDORSE-26JAN01-OFAT
Will Bernie Sanders endorse Omar Fateh in any statewide race before Jan 1, 2026?
$0.12

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.02 $0.07 $0.12 10.0¢ 7.0%
NO $0.88 $0.93 $0.98 10.0¢ 93.0%
Overround (asks): 10.0% Underround (bids): 10.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.02 0 $0.12 0
NO $0.88 0 $0.98 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.07 0.0 0
$0.93 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.0200.120
Band Width0.100

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-5.0
NO Edge (ticks)-5.0
Vig (bps/h)1000

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity36646
24h Volume0
Open Interest406
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Omar Fateh in any statewide race before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-08T19:34:19.206211

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