KXBRICS-26
Will BRICS invite a new member to join them at their next summit?
$0.58

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.51 $0.55 $0.58 7.0¢ 54.5%
NO $0.42 $0.46 $0.49 7.0¢ 45.5%
Overround (asks): 7.0% Underround (bids): 7.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.51 0 $0.58 0
NO $0.42 0 $0.49 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.55 0.0 0
$0.46 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.510 – 0.580
Band Width0.070

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-3.5
NO Edge (ticks)-3.5
Vig (bps/h)700

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens—
Last Trade (Close)— (—)
Expected Expiration— (—)

Book & Activity

Liquidity597249
24h Volume0
Open Interest191
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If BRICS invites a new country to be a member before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will BRICS invite a new member to join them at their next summit?
$0.58

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-11-08T19:28:52.908020

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