KXCARDPRESENCEUFCWH-26JUL04-IADE
Will Israel Adesanya be on the UFC 2025 White House event card?
$0.4
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.31 | $0.35 | $0.4 | 9.0¢ | 35.5% |
| NO | $0.6 | $0.65 | $0.69 | 9.0¢ | 64.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.31 | 0 | $0.4 | 0 |
| NO | $0.6 | 0 | $0.69 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.35 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.65 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.310 – 0.400 |
| Band Width | 0.090 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -4.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 900 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 590109 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 24 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Israel Adesanya is officially listed to compete on the UFC 2026 White House event fight card before Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The fighter must be officially announced by the UFC to compete on the specified event card. This includes main card, preliminary card, or early preliminary card positions. The market resolves to Yes upon official UFC announcement even if the fighter subsequently withdraws due to injury, weight cut issues, or other circumstances. Replacement fighters added to the card also trigger Yes resolution. Being rumored for the card, attending as a spectator, or fighting on a different UFC event the same weekend does not qualify. If the event is canceled or delayed beyond the expiration date, the market resolves to last fair price.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-08T22:33:37.503245
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