KXCHENEYFUNERAL-25DEC01-GWB
Will George W. Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
$1.0
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.91 | $0.95 | $1.0 | 9.0¢ | 91.39% |
| NO | $0.0 | $0.09 | $0.09 | 9.0¢ | 8.97% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.91 | 0 | $1.0 | 0 |
| NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.09 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.95 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.09 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.910 – 1.000 |
| Band Width | 0.090 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -8.61 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.39 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 900 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 132015 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 138 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If George W. Bush attends Dick Cheney's funeral, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Virtual attendance counts as attendance unless the event is explicitly in-person only. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance. The event must occur in the specified year. If the event is cancelled, postponed beyond the expiration date, or does not occur before Dec 1, 2025, the market resolves to No.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-08T22:39:02.309102
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