KXETHMAXY-25DEC31-4999.99
How high will Ethereum get this year?
$5,000 or above
$0.16
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.13 | $0.14 | $0.16 | 3.0¢ | 14.5% |
| NO | $0.84 | $0.85 | $0.87 | 3.0¢ | 85.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.13 | 0 | $0.16 | 0 |
| NO | $0.84 | 0 | $0.87 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.14 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.85 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.130 – 0.160 |
| Band Width | 0.030 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 300 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | -0.01 |
| ΔSpread (¢) | 1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | 0.01 |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 116265980 |
| 24h Volume | 280484 |
| Open Interest | 1090603 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.26 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If the price of Ethereum is Above 4999.99 by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) in a sixty minute period between 8AM and 7PM, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. Importantly, only data used between 8AM and 7PM on weekdays are used (save stock market holidays) to resolve the contract.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-08T13:31:02.910984
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