KXEUROVISIONISRAELBAN-26MAY12
Will be banned from Eurovision 2026 before May 12, 2026?
$0.21
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.14 | $0.17 | $0.21 | 7.0¢ | 17.5% |
| NO | $0.79 | $0.82 | $0.86 | 7.0¢ | 82.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.14 | 0 | $0.21 | 0 |
| NO | $0.79 | 0 | $0.86 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.17 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.82 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.140 – 0.210 |
| Band Width | 0.070 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -3.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -3.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 700 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 946919 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 928 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If Israel has been announced to have been banned from Eurovision 2026 before May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A ban must be formally announced by the official governing body or organizer of the event. This includes formal prohibitions, sanctions, suspensions, or exclusions that explicitly prohibit participation. Voluntary withdrawals, boycotts, or non-qualification due to poor performance do not count. Speculation or threats without official enforcement do not qualify. Individual bans may not constitute a country ban unless the individual is the sole representative. The ban only needs to be announced (not enforced) before the deadline to trigger resolution.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data
Last updated: 2025-11-08T16:28:53.212127
Technical Indicators
No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →
Let us know what you’d like to see →