KXEUROVISIONISRAELBAN-26MAY12
Will be banned from Eurovision 2026 before May 12, 2026?
$0.21

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.14 $0.17 $0.21 7.0¢ 17.5%
NO $0.79 $0.82 $0.86 7.0¢ 82.5%
Overround (asks): 7.0% Underround (bids): 7.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.14 0 $0.21 0
NO $0.79 0 $0.86 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.17 0.0 0
$0.82 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.1400.210
Band Width0.070

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-3.5
NO Edge (ticks)-3.5
Vig (bps/h)700

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens
Last Trade (Close) ()
Expected Expiration ()

Book & Activity

Liquidity946919
24h Volume0
Open Interest928
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.00.0
0.250.00.0
0.500.00.0
0.750.00.0
0.950.00.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Israel has been announced to have been banned from Eurovision 2026 before May 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A ban must be formally announced by the official governing body or organizer of the event. This includes formal prohibitions, sanctions, suspensions, or exclusions that explicitly prohibit participation. Voluntary withdrawals, boycotts, or non-qualification due to poor performance do not count. Speculation or threats without official enforcement do not qualify. Individual bans may not constitute a country ban unless the individual is the sole representative. The ban only needs to be announced (not enforced) before the deadline to trigger resolution.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-11-08T16:28:53.212127

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →