KXEURUSDMIN-25DEC31-T1.00
Will the minimum EUR/USD exchange rate reach 1.00 by Dec 31, 2025?
0.99999 or below
$0.04
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.01 | $0.03 | $0.04 | 3.0¢ | 2.5% |
| NO | $0.96 | $0.97 | $0.99 | 3.0¢ | 97.5% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.01 | 0 | $0.04 | 0 |
| NO | $0.96 | 0 | $0.99 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.03 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.97 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.010 – 0.040 |
| Band Width | 0.030 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.5 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.5 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 300 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 9057907 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 1768 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If ICE reports that the minimum EUR/USD exchange rate (as defined exclusively by the set of EUR/USD open prices at 10 AM ET) is Below 1.00 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
Please note: as noted above, the set of prices considered is exclusively the set of EUR/USD open prices at 10 AM ET. For instance, if the exchange rate breaches the threshold at noon but is no longer breaching the threshold at 10 AM ET, then that breaching value will not be considered.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-08T16:32:09.215285
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