KXFIFAUSPULLGAME-26JUN11
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad before Jun 11, 2026?
$0.94
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.02 | $0.48 | $0.94 | 92.0¢ | 48.0% |
| NO | $0.06 | $0.52 | $0.98 | 92.0¢ | 52.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.02 | 0 | $0.94 | 0 |
| NO | $0.06 | 0 | $0.98 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.48 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.52 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.020 – 0.940 |
| Band Width | 0.920 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -46.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -46.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 9200 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | -1.0 |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 485842 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 360 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If FIFA officially relocates at least one 2026 FIFA World Cup match from a U.S. venue to a venue outside the United States before ||date||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A relocation requires FIFA to officially move a match from any U.S. venue (including all 50 states, DC, and U.S. territories) to a venue outside the United States. Official relocations are confirmed through FIFA's updated match schedule, official announcements, or the organizing committee's statements. Moving matches between U.S. venues, date/time changes without venue changes, relocations of non-U.S. matches, temporary changes that are reversed, and changes to training facilities do not qualify. If a match begins in the U.S. but is moved abroad mid-match due to disruption, this resolves to Yes. If the entire tournament is cancelled or postponed to 2027+, this resolves to No. If all U.S. matches are relocated abroad, this resolves to Yes.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-11-10T17:43:00.706202
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